Objectives Re-evaluation the clinical evidence of. anti-virus medicines for virosis communicable respiratory disease on the effectiveness, safety and health economy. Methods To search CL (2003 Issue 1), Medline (1966-2003.5), CCOHTA, SBU, NICE and NCCHTA and collect all CSRs and HTA with computer . The quality of evaluation partly based on QUOROM will be done before results analysed. If heterogeneity does not exist in CSRs and HTA, a Meta-analysis will be re-conducted. Results 4 CSRs (38 RC, n=22 835) and 5 HTA (28 RCT, n=139 281) were included. Due to the significant heterogeneity between these studies, further Meta-analysis could not be conducted, and descri ptive conclusions were conducted only. Conclusions Neuraminidase inhibitors (zanamivir and oseltamivir) are more effective than placebo in reducing the duration of symptoms of patients with basic disease, and have limited effectiveness in health adults. But, both are well tolerated and reduce the rate of contracting influenza in all individuals. For prevention, neuraminidase inhibitors cost more and are not suitable as first-line drug. 2. Diamantane is more effective than placebo in reducing the duration of having fever, and effectively prevents the influenza A. Amantadine and rimantadine have comparable effectiveness in the prevention, although rimantadine induces fewer adverse effects than amantadine. 3. The number of the childrenpatients of upper respiratory tract infection prevented and treated by ribavirin is too small to draw any conculsion now.
Objective To analyze the incidence and mortality of acute viral hepatitis in China, project its trends from 2022 to 2030, and provide valuable insights for the prevention and control of viral hepatitis. Methods The incidence and mortality rates of acute viral hepatitis in China from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database. The change rates and the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) for each indicator were calculated. Additionally, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was used to project the incidence and mortality of acute viral hepatitis in China from 2022 to 2030. Results From 1990 to 2021, the incidence rates of acute hepatitis A (AHA), acute hepatitis B (AHB), acute hepatitis C (AHC), and acute hepatitis E (AHE) in China all showed a declining trend (EAPC=−1.980%, −2.664%, −2.078%, −1.686%; P<0.05), with a particularly marked decrease in mortality (EAPC=−11.662%, −7.411%, −12.541%, −7.504%; P<0.05). According to ARIMA model projections, the incidence rates of AHA and AHB were expected to continue declining from 2022 to 2030, while the incidence rates of AHC and AHE were expected to rise. In 2030, the projected incidence rates of AHA, AHB, AHC, and AHE were 890.425/100000, 824.158/100000, 59.202/100000, and 300.377/100000, respectively. The mortality rates of AHA, AHC, and AHE were projected to remain stable from 2022 to 2030, while the mortality rate of AHB was expected to decline. In 2030, the projected mortality rates of AHA, AHB, AHC, and AHE were 0.002/100000, 0/100000, 0.004/100000, and 0.011/100000, respectively. Conclusions From 1990 to 2021, the overall incidence and mortality of acute viral hepatitis in China showed a downward trend. However, the incidence rates of AHC and AHE may present an upward trend in the future, which suggests that the government and relevant health authorities should adjust their prevention and control strategies in a timely manner.