Objective To evaluate the predictive effect of three machine learning methods, namely support vector machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbor (KNN) and decision tree, on the daily number of new patients with ischemic stroke in Chengdu. Methods The numbers of daily new ischemic stroke patients from January 1st, 2019 to March 28th, 2021 were extracted from the Third People’s Hospital of Chengdu. The weather and meteorological data and air quality data of Chengdu came from China Weather Network in the same period. Correlation analyses, multinominal logistic regression, and principal component analysis were used to explore the influencing factors for the level of daily number of new ischemic stroke patients in this hospital. Then, using R 4.1.2 software, the data were randomly divided in a ratio of 7∶3 (70% into train set and 30% into validation set), and were respectively used to train and certify the three machine learning methods, SVM, KNN and decision tree, and logistic regression model was used as the benchmark model. F1 score, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and accuracy of each model were calculated. The data dividing, training and validation were repeated for three times, and the average F1 scores, AUCs and accuracies of the three times were used to compare the prediction effects of the four models. Results According to the accuracies from high to low, the prediction effects of the four models were ranked as SVM (88.9%), logistic regression model (87.5%), decision tree (85.9%), and KNN (85.1%); according to the F1 scores, the models were ranked as SVM (66.9%), KNN (62.7%), decision tree (59.1%), and logistic regression model (57.7%); according to the AUCs, the order from high to low was SVM (88.5%), logistic regression model (87.7%), KNN (84.7%), and decision tree (71.5%). Conclusion The prediction result of SVM is better than the traditional logistic regression model and the other two machine learning models.
Objective To systematically review the epidemic trend and disease burden of ischemic stroke in the Chinese population and to provide references for formulating reasonable prevention and treatment measures and allocating health resources. Methods Based on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data, we analyzed the morbidity, mortality, disability-adjusted life year (DALY) and normalized rates for ischemic stroke in China from 1990 to 2019 and evaluated the changes in the disease burden by sex and age group. Meanwhile, joinpoint regression model was constructed to analyze the time trend change in each stage during the study period. Results Compared with 1990, the incidence, mortality and DALY rate of ischemic stroke in China increased by 171.68%, 125.60% and 98.60% in 2019, among which the incidence, mortality and DALY rate of males increased by 184.29%, 148.96% and 115.16%, respectively; the morbidity, mortality and DALY rates of females increased by 160.9%, 101.32% and 81.44%, respectively. The age-standardized incidence increased by 34.70%, while the age-standardized mortality and age-standardized DALY rate decreased by 3.33% and 4.02%, respectively; the age-standardized incidence, mortality and DALY rates of males increased by 39.52%, 8.03% and 3.68%, respectively; the age-standardized incidence rate of females increased by 31.40%, while the age-standardized mortality rate and age-standardized DALY rate decreased by 14.02% and 11.53%, respectively. In 2019, both the mortality rate and DALY rate due to ischemic stroke increased with age, and the highest rate was found in the population over 85 years old. Males over 60 years old were significantly than females. In the 55-84 age group, the incidence of ischemic stroke in females was higher than that in males, while in the 85 and above age group, the incidence of ischemic stroke in females was lower than that in males. The AAPC of age-standardized incidence, age-standardized mortality, and age-standardized DALY rates due to ischemic stroke from 1990 to 2019 were 1.06% (95%CI 1.00% to 1.11%), 0.01% (95%CI −0.45% to 0.48%) and −0.16% (95%CI −0.53% to 0.22%), respectively. All indicators of the AAPC for males were higher than those for females. ConclusionThe curvent age-standardized mortality and DALY rate of ischemic stroke in China have decreased slightly compared with 1990. The crude mortality, morbidity and disease burden have significantly increased. All indicators of the AAPC for males were higher than those for females. To reduce the epidemic trend and disease burden of ischemic stroke, reasonable prevention and treatment measures and rational allocation of health resources should be made according to sex and age.
Objective To explore the awareness of thrombolytic therapy for acute ischemic stroke in inpatients with a history of stroke and with a high risk of stroke. Methods From January to August 2012, using self-designed questionnaire, trained neurologists conducted the face to face investigation in 500 inpatients with a high risk of stroke, including those with a history of stroke in Department of Neurology in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University. Results A total of 467 valid questionnaires were recovered. Only 16.1% (75/467) patients were aware of thrombolytic therapy for acute stroke, of whom 50.7% (38/75) knew the time window of thrombolytic therapy. Awareness of thrombolytic therapy was higher in patients aged 56-70 years, with a higher level of education and income, and in those who knew at least 3 stroke warning signs and those with a history of stroke. While awareness of the time window of thrombolytic therapy was higher in those unmarried or widowed and with a history of stroke. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that awareness of thrombolytic therapy was independently associated with age, education level, knowledge of stroke warning signs and a history of stroke; awareness of the time window was associated with marital status and a history of stroke (P<0.05). Conclusions Inpatients with a history of stroke and with a high risk of stroke in the Department of Neurology have poor awareness of thrombolytic therapy for acute ischemic stroke. It is necessary to improve the level of patients’ knowledge about thrombolytic therapy for acute stroke by health education.
Good collateral circulation can effectively improve the prognosis of patients with severe stenosis or occlusion of cerebral blood supply artery. Studies have shown that CT angiography (CTA) can non-invasively and intuitively evaluate the degree of stenosis and collateral blood flow in diseased vessels. Rapid and accurate CTA collateral circulation score is of great significance for clinical decision-making and judging the prognosis of ischemic stroke. At present, there are many scoring scales based on CTA collateral circulation. This article will review the existing 7 CTA collateral circulation scoring scales, the advantages and disadvantages of clinical application and related research progress in predicting prognosis, aiming to provide a reference for clinicians to choose the collateral circulation score scale and the best treatment plan according to different situations.
Objective The core indicator pool of ischemic stroke (IS) was constructed to provide a basis for the establishment of the core outcome set (COS), so as to improve the consistency of clinical research and evaluation results of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) treatment for IS. Methods In this study, the mixed methods research (MMR) convergent parallel design was used to carry out qualitative research and quantitative research at the same time, and the two research results were integrated to reach a conclusion. Quantitative research comprehensively collected the multi-source efficacy evaluation indicators of TCM treatment of IS, and carried out descriptive statistical analysis based on frequency theory. Semi-structured interviews were used in the qualitative research, relevant interest groups were selected to understand the evaluation indicators of the IS efficacy of TCM treatment that they were concerned about, and NVivo software was used for in-depth analysis, coding, classification, and extraction of the efficacy indicators. Based on the principle of pillar integration, quantitative and qualitative research results were integrated to construct an element pool of evaluation indicators for the treatment of IS with traditional Chinese medicine. Results A total of 437 standard papers, 71 registered trial protocols, 100 real-world medical data cases and several guideline consensus policy documents were included in the quantitative study, and a total of 314 indicators in the acute phase of IS, 154 indicators in the recovery phase, and 104 indicators in the sequelae phase were extracted. In the qualitative research part, a total of 32 indicators in the acute stage of IS, 34 indicators in the recovery stage and 35 indicators in the sequelae stage were extracted through interviews. Through group discussion and the principle of pillar integration, an element pool of IS indicators was formed, including 279 IS indicators in the acute stage, 142 indicators in the recovery stage and 91 indicators in the sequelae stage. Conclusion Based on the MMR convergent parallel design, the element pool of the characteristic indicators of the therapeutic effect of IS in TCM is constructed to meet the needs, which provides the preliminary work basis for the construction of the core outcome set of IS in the next stage.
Objective To investigate the risk factors and the prevention and cure methods of ischemic stroke during low intensity anticoagulation therapy after mechanical heart valve replacement. Methods From March 2004 to July 2008，twentythree patients with ischemic stroke after mechanical heart valve replacement had been researched(ischemic stroke group). One hundred and twenty patients who had undergone mechanical heart valve replacement were randomly chosen in the same period as control group. Gender, age, the dose of warfarin , anticoagulation intensity(INR), INR review interval, left atrial diameter and heart rhythm were compared between the two groups, and the risk factors of ischemic stroke were analyzed by logistic regression analysis. Results (1) Patients in ischemic stroke group all discharged from hospital after treatment, and they were followed up for 1 month-3 years after discharged. All the patients’ neurological complications improved obviously, and no recurrent embolism and severe hemorrhage was found. (2) There was no statistical significance between two groups in gender, age and the dose of warfarin（Pgt;0.05）. (3) Nonconditional logistic regression analysis on influence factors showed that atrial fibrillation（P=0.000）, left atrial enlargement（P=0.002）, low anticoagulation intensity（P=0.012） and longtime INR review interval（P=0.047）were the risk factors of ischemic stroke during low intensity anticoagulation therapy after mechanical heart valve replacement. Conclusions (1)The prognosis of ischemic stroke during low intensity anticoagulation therapy after mechanical heart valve replacement is better than that of intracranial hemorrhage, and the occurrence of ischemic stroke is related to many risk factors. (2)The influences of risk factors should be minimized in order to avoid ischemic stroke. (3) Early low intensity anticoagulation therapy is safe and effective for patients with ischemic stroke after heart valve replacement.
ObjectiveTo explore the association of elongase of very long chain fatty acids family member 6 (ELOVL6) gene with increased risk of large-artery atherosclerosis stroke (LAA) in Han Chinese population in Chengdu.MethodsHan Chinese populations in Chengdu, Sichuan were chosen for this study using the case-control design between January 2015 and December 2017. The genotypes and haplotypes of six single nucleotides polymorphisms (SNPs) of ELOVL6 gene (rs3813825, rs17041272, rs4141123, rs9997926, rs6824447, and rs12504538) were analyzed in different genetic models in entire samples, and gene-enviromental interaction analyses were also carried out to get an insight of the risk factors for LAA. At the same time, we also analyzed the gene expression profile in peripheral blood mononuclear cells between groups.ResultsA total of 240 LAA cases and 211 healthy controls were enrolled in this study. All the enrolled subjects presented CC genotype of rs9997926, while the other five SNPs (rs3813825, rs17041272, rs4141123, rs6824447, and rs12504538) were genotyped successfully in all the enrolled subjects. rs17041272 polymorphism and TGTTG haplotype were significantly associated with LAA risk in studied population [CC/(CG+GG): odds ratio (OR)=0.640, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.423, 0.968), P=0.034; TGTTG: OR=1.776, 95%CI (1.069, 2.951), P=0.024], and the interaction among rs17041272, rs6824447 SNPs and dyslipidemia increased susceptibility to LAA [OR=2.737, 95%CI (1.715, 4.368), P<0.001]. The ELOVL6 gene expression level was higher in LAA subjects (t=−3.167, P=0.003).ConclusionsELOVL6 gene is associated with LAA risk in Han nationality of Chinese population in Chengdu, and the interaction of gene-environmental risk factors could be of great importance in pathophysiology of LAA.
ObjectiveTo systematically review the efficacy and safety of bone mesenchymal stem cells (BMSCs) transplantation for ischemic stroke. MethodsWe electronically searched PubMed, The Cochrane Library (Issue 12, 2014), EMbase, CBM, CNKI and WanFang Data from inception to December 2014, to collect randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of BMSCs transplantation for ischemic stroke. Two reviewers independently screened literature according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Then, meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.3 software. ResultsA total of 6 RCTs involving 332 patients were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that, the BMSCs transplantation group was superior to the routine treatment group with significant differences in the neurologic deficits score (NIHSS score)(MD=-2.09, 95%CI -2.88 to -1.29, P<0.000 01), motor function (Fugl-Meyer rating scale) (MD=15.25, 95%CI 13.51 to 16.99, P<0.000 01) and daily life ability (Barthel index) (MD=20.04, 95%CI 9.91 to 30.17, P=0.000 1) after 3 months treatment. Two trials reported the adverse events including fever and headache, but the patients relieved in a brief period. ConclusionCurrent evidence shows that BMSCs transplantation can improve the neurological deficits, motor function and daily life ability after ischemic stroke with less adverse effect. No serious adverse events are observed. However, more high quality studies are needed to confirm its effects for lowering rates of death and dependency of BMSC.
Objective To explore the correlation between interleukin-6 (IL-6) 174G/C polymorphism and ischemic stroke risks. Methods Systematic searches of electronic databases as CBM, CNKI, PubMed, MEDLINE and EMbase were performed. Meta-analysis was conducted by using RevMan 5.1.2 and Stata 11.0 software. The pooled odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) were performed. Publication bias was tested by funnel plot, Egger’s regression test and Begg’s test. Sensitivity analysis was made by repeating the fixed effects model or random effects model Meta-analysis with each of the studies individually removed. Results A total of 11 publications with 12 studies were identified. The results of meta-analyses showed no significant difference was found in the correlation between IL-6 174G/C polymorphism and ischemic stroke risks (for G/C vs. G/G: OR=0.98, 95%CI 0.78 to 1.24; for C/C vs. G/G: OR=0.75, 95%CI 0.38 to 1.50; for dominant inheritance model: OR=0.93, 95%CI 0.68 to 1.28; for recessive inheritance model: OR=0.80, 95%CI 0.45 to 1.42). In the subgroup analyses on ethnicity, no significant correlation was found. But in the subgroup analyses on source of control population, the hospital-based subgroup showed IL-6 174G/C polymorphism was the protective factor of ischemic stroke (for G/C vs. G/G: OR=0.56, 95%CI 0.40 to 0.79; for C/C vs. G/G: OR=0.17, 95%CI 0.11 to 0.27; for dominant inheritance model: OR=0.40, 95%CI 0.29 to 0.55; for recessive inheritance model: OR=0.24, 95%CI 0.16 to 0.37). Conclusion Meta-analysis bly suggests that the correlation between IL-6 174 G/C polymorphism and ischemic stroke is not significantly different.
Objective To evaluate the risk factors for cognitive impairment and their interactions in acute ischemic stroke (IS) patients. Methods IS patients admitted to the Department of Neurology, the People’s Hospital of Mianyang between January 2019 and January 2022 were selected. Patients were divided into a cognitive impairment group and a cognitive normal group. The demographic characteristics and clinical data of the subjects were collected, and the traditional risk factors for cognitive impairment were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The multifactor dimensionality reduction test was used to detect the possible interactions between risk factors. Results A total of 255 patients were included. Among them, 88 cases (34.5%) in the cognitive impairment group and 167 cases (65.5%) in the cognitive normal group. The results of factor logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for covariates, big and medium infarction volume, severe IS, moderate to severe carotid artery stenosis as well as high hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) were associated with post-IS cognitive impairment (P<0.05). The cognitive impairment increased by 22.632 times [odds ratio=22.632, 95% confidence interval (5.980, 85.652), P<0.001] in patients with big and medium infarction volume, severe IS and high hs-CRP. Conclusions The cognitive impairment is common in acute IS. Patients with big and medium infarction volume, non-mild stroke, carotid artery stenosis, high hs-CRP, and non-right sided infarction are prone to cognitive impairment, and there are complex interactions among these risk factors.