ObjectiveTo analyze the disease burden and temporal trends of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) attributable to air pollution in China from 1990 to 2021. MethodsUtilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), we assessed the burden of COPD attributable to air pollution in China through metrics including death counts, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR), annual percentage change (APC), and average annual percentage change (AAPC). A Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model was employed to project future trends in COPD burden attributable to air pollution. ResultsIn 2021, China’s ASMR and ASDR for COPD attributable to air pollution were 32.57 and 533.84 per 100 000 population, respectively, exceeding global averages. From 1990 to 2021, both ASMR and ASDR exhibited significant declining trends, with AAPCs of −5.24% (95% CI −5.78% to −4.70%) and −5.28% (95% CI −5.75% to −4.81%), respectively. The burden intensified with advancing age and was disproportionately higher among males compared to females. BAPC projections indicate a continued decline in COPD burden from 2022 to 2035, with ASMR expected to decrease from 56.40 to 23.02 per 100 000 and ASDR from 900.14 to 408.64 per 100 000. Conclusion Despite sustained reductions in the burden of COPD attributable to air pollution in China from 1990 to 2021, with further declines anticipated through 2035, national rates remain elevated relative to global benchmarks. Male and elderly populations bear the highest burden, underscoring the urgency for targeted interventions to mitigate air pollution exposure and address health disparities in vulnerable demographics.
Objectives To assess the relationship between subclinical hyperthyroidism and the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD). Methods PubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, VIP, WanFang Data and CBM databases were searched for studies on the relationship between subclinical hyperthyroidism and the incidence of CHD from inception to October 2016. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Then, meta-analysis was performed by using RevMan 5.3 and Stata 12.0 software. Results In total, 14 cohort studies were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with the incidence of coronary heart disease (RR=1.19, 95%CI 1.01 to 1.40, P=0.04) and all-cause mortality (RR=1.36, 95%CI 1.11 to 1.67, P=0.003). Conclusions Subclinical hyperthyroidism is associated with an increased risk of CHD and all-cause mortality. Due to the limitation of quality and quantity of the studies, the above conclusions are required to be verified by large-scale and high quality research.
ObjectivesTo systematically review the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).MethodsPubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, CNKI, WanFang Data and VIP databases were electronically searched to collect cohort studies on the association between BMI and mortality of COPD from inception to February, 2019. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Meta-analysis was then performed using RevMan 5.3 software.ResultsA total of 14 cohort studies involving 494 060 COPD patients were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that, compared with patients having a normal weight, underweight individuals were associated with higher mortality (RR=1.40, 95%CI 1.15 to 1.71, P=0.000 8), whereas overweight (RR=0.65, 95%CI 0.54 to 0.79, P<0.000 1) and obese (RR=0.37, 95%CI 0.20 to 0.67, P=0.001) patients were associated with lower mortality.ConclusionsCurrent evidence shows that underweight is associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality among patients with COPD, whereas overweight and obese are associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality in these patients. Due to limited quality and quantity of the included studies, more high quality studies are required to verify above conclusions.
Objective To analyze the epidemic trend of prostate cancer in China from 1992 to 2021, and predict its epidemic trends from 2022 to 2032. Methods Based on the data of Chinese population and prostate cancer incidence and mortality from Global Burden of Disease Database, the Joinpoint log-linear model was used to analyze the trends of prostate cancer incidence and mortality, use the age-period-cohort model to analyze the effects of age, period and cohort on changes in incidence and mortality, and the gray prediction model was used to predict the trends of prostate cancer. Results From 1992 to 2021, the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in China showed an upward trend, with AAPC of 5.652% (P<0.001) and 3.466% (P<0.001), and the AAPC of age-standardized incidence decreased to 1.990% (P<0.001), the age-standardized mortality showed a downward trend and was not statistically significant. The results of the age-period-cohort model showed that the net drift values of prostate cancer incidence and mortality were 3.03% and −1.06%, respectively, and the risk of incidence and mortality gradually increased with age and period. The results of the grey prediction model showed that the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer showed an upward trend from 2022 to 2032, and the incidence trend was more obvious. Conclusion The incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in China showed an increasing trend, with a heavy disease burden and severe forms of prevention and control, so it is necessary to do a good job in monitoring the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer, and strengthen the efficient screening, early diagnosis and treatment of prostate cancer.
Objective To systematically review the correlation of activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) and prognosis after ECMO treatment. Methods The PubMed, EMbase, MEDLINE, CNKI, WanFang Data and VIP databases were electronically searched to collect studies on the correlation of APTT and prognosis after ECMO treatment from database inception to April 11th, 2022. Two researchers independently screened the literature, extracted data, and evaluated the risk of bias of the included studies. Meta-analysis was then performed using RevMan 5.4 software. Results A total of 22 studies, involving 2 913 patients were included. The level of APTT in the bleeding group was higher than that in the non-bleeding group during ECMO support treatment (MD=10.34, 95%CI 1.32 to 19.37, P=0.02). The APTT level in the thrombus group was lower than that in the non-thrombus group (MD=−3.58, 95%CI −5.89 to −1.27, P=0.002). The level of APTT in the death group was significantly higher than that in the survival group (MD=8.97, 95%CI 5.89 to 12.06, P<0.00001). Conclusion The APTT level of ECMO patients is closely related to the prognosis of bleeding, thrombosis and death. Due to the limited quantity and quality of the included studies, the above conclusion needs to be verified by more high-quality studies.
ObjectiveTo systematically review the associations of cognitive frailty with mortality and hospitalization in the elderly. MethodsThe VIP, PubMed, CNKI, WanFang Data, CBM, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases were electronically searched to collect cohort studies on the association of cognitive frailty with mortality or hospitalization in the elderly from inception to May, 2023. Two reviewers independently screened the literature, extracted data and assessed risk of bias of the included studies. Meta-analysis was performed by R 4.2.2 software. ResultsA total of 19 cohort studies involving 63 624 elderly were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that compared with healthy elder, the elder with cognitive frailty had a higher mortality (OR=2.75, 95%CI 2.10 to 3.59, P<0.01) and hospitalization (OR=1.67, 95%CI 1.40 to 2.00, P<0.01). Subgroup analysis showed that cognitive frailty was related to the risk of death in different status of frailty and cognitive function, different assessment tools, different countries of development, different follow-up time and research sites. At the same time, different status of frailty and cognitive function and different levels of development of countries were related to the risk of hospitalization. ConclusionCurrent evidence shows that cognitive frailty can increase the risk of hospitalization and mortality in the elderly. It is suggested that early screening and intervention of cognitive frailty should be carried out to effectively reduce the risk of adverse consequences, so as to achieve healthy aging.
ObjectiveTo describe the cancer incidence and mortality in Henan cancer registries in 2014.MethodsRegistration data (including incidence, mortality and population data) were evaluated according to the criteria of quality control of cancer registry. The incidence, mortality, and cumulative rate (0 to 74 years old) were calculated and stratified by area (urban/rural), gender, and age. Chinese Population Census in 2000 and Segi’s Population were used for age-standardized incidence and mortality rates.ResultsThe total covered population of the 27 cancer registries in 2014 was 21 044 835, accounting for 19.73% of Henan's total population at the end of 2014. The crude incidence rate in Henan cancer registration areas was 252.79/100 000 (males 273.55/100 000, females 230.70/100 000). Age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population and by world standard population were 205.27/100 000 and 203.78/100 000 with the cumulative incidence rate (0 to 74 years old) of 24.17%. The cancer mortality in Henan was 156.58/100 000 (188.10/100 000 in males and 123.02/100 000 in females). The age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population and by world standard population were 123.94/100 000 and 123.80/100 000, and the cumulative incidence rate (0 to 74 years old) was 14.30%. Lung cancer, gastric cancer, esophageal cancer, liver cancer, breast cancer, colorectal cancer, cervical cancer, encephala, leukemia and thyroid cancer were the most common cancers, accounting for approximately 83% of all cancer cases in urban and rural areas. Lung cancer, gastric cancer, esophageal cancer, liver cancer, colorectal cancer, breast cancer, encephala, leukemia, pancreatic cancer and cervical cancer accounted for approximately 88% of all cancer deaths.ConclusionsThe age-standardized incidence and mortality in Henan are above the national level. The common cancers in Henan are lung cancer, female breast cancer and digestive system cancers. The strategy of cancer prevention and control in Henan should be implemented depending on pratical situations.
ObjectiveTo systematically review mortality risk prediction models for acute type A aortic dissection (AAAD). MethodsPubMed, EMbase, Web of Science, CNKI, WanFang Data, VIP and CBM databases were electronically searched to collect studies of mortality risk prediction models for AAAD from inception to July 31th, 2021. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Systematic review was then performed. ResultsA total of 19 studies were included, of which 15 developed prediction models. The performance of prediction models varied substantially (AUC were 0.56 to 0.92). Only 6 studies reported calibration statistics, and all models had high risk of bias. ConclusionsCurrent prediction models for mortality and prognosis of AAAD patients are suboptimal, and the performance of the models varies significantly. It is still essential to establish novel prediction models based on more comprehensive and accurate statistical methods, and to conduct internal and a large number of external validations.
ObjectiveTo analyze the trend of disease burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) in China from 1990 to 2019.MethodsData was obtained from Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). Incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life year (DALY), years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD), and their corresponding standardized rate and annual average percentage change (AAPC) were used to describe the changes of disease burden of colorectal cancer in Chinese population between 1990 and 2019.ResultsCompared with 1990, the number of new cases, standardized incidence, the number of deaths and standardized mortality of CRC in China in 2019 increased by 474.03%, 144.01%, 230.14%, and 36.15%, respectively. The standardized mortality and standardized incidence of CRC in China had reached and gradually exceeded the global level since 2010. From 1990 to 2019, the overall standard incidence (AAPC=3.6%, P<0.05), standard mortality rate (AAPC=1.4%, P<0.05), and the standard DALY rate (AAPC=1.2%, P<0.05) of CRC in China showed an increasing trend. The incidence, mortality and DALY rates of males were higher than those of females, and gradually increased with age. Compared with 1990, the DALY, YLL, and YLD of CRC in 2019 increased by 134.3%, 127.69%, and 445.00%, and their corresponding standardized rates increased by 30.53%, 27.03%, and 187.29%, respectively, showing an overall upward trend.ConclusionsFrom 1990 to 2019, the standardized incidence rate and standardized mortality rate of colorectal cancer in China have had a continuously increasing trend, and males and the elderly are high-risk groups. To reduce the burden of colorectal cancer in China, effective measures should be taken for prevention and management.
Objective To study the mortality and prognostic factors of post-operative acute respiratory failure in cancer patients. Methods There were 1632 postoperative cancer patients from2004 to 2006 in the ICU of Cancer Hospital, in which 447 patients were complicated with acute respiratory failure ( intubation or tracheotomy and mechanical ventilation) . The clinical data was retrospectively analyzed. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to identify variables associated with mortality for acute respiratory failure. Results In 447 patients with acute respiratory failure ( male 260, female 187) , 106 cases died with a mortality of 6. 5% . Single factor analysis showed that acute morbodities ( shock, infection, organ failure) , intervention ( continuous renal replacement therapy, vasopressor drugs) , the 28-day ICU free days and APACHE scores ( ≥ 20) had significant differences between the survivor and non-survivor. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that duration of operation( P = 0. 008, OR 1. 032, 95% CI 1. 008-1. 057) , APACHEⅡ≥20 scores( P =0. 000, OR12. 200, 95% CI 2. 896-51. 406) , organ function failure( P =0. 000, OR 13. 344,95% CI 3. 791-7. 395) were associated with mortality of acute respiratory failure. Conclusion Duration of operation, organ function failure, and APACHE Ⅱ scores were risk prognostic factors for postoperative cancer patients with acute respiratory failure.