Abstract： Objective To evaluate surgical outcomes of patients with Marfan syndrome （MFS） complicated by type A aortic dissection （AAD） during follow-up. Methods We retrospectively reviewed clinical data of 44 patients with MFS complicated by AAD who were admitted to Wuhan Asia Heart Hospital from January 2006 to January 2012. There were 31 male patients and 13 female patients with their age of 12-54 （33.0±9.8） years. Twenty-three patients underwent Bentall procedure at different time after the onset of AAD， while the other 21 patients received conservative treatment in stead of surgery because of economical or other reasons. COX regression with time-varying covariates was performed to analyze related factors， using primary end point， primary end point＋secondary end point as the outcome variables respectively， to compare postoperative outcomes and quality of life between the surgical treatment patients and conservative treatment patients. Results Postoperatively 1 patient died of multiple organ failure， and the other 22 patients survived the surgery. All the 43 patients were followed up from 1 to 75 months. The 3-year survival rate of the 22 surgical treatment patients was 95.7%， and they all had a good quality of life during follow-up. The survival condition and quality of life of the 21 conservative treatment patients was poor， and 13 patients （61.9%） died with the 3-year survival rate of only 31.7%. The main causes of their death included acute cardiac tamponade， aortic dissection rupture， acute myocardial infarction andcardiogenic shock. COX regression with time-varying covariates showed that the treatment outcomes of the surgical treatment patients were statistically different from those of the conservative treatment patients after modifying the influence caused by different operating time （OR of T_COV_ =0.088， P=0.028） . The risk of death of surgical treatment was only 8.8% of that of conservative treatment. Conclusion The prognosis of patients with MFS complicated by AAD is very poor. Therefore， all these patient， both in acute stage and chronic stage， should undergo surgical treatment as early as possible. The short-term and follow-up outcomes of surgical treatment are satisfactory.
ObjectiveTo explore the expression of chloride intracellular channel protein 1 (CLIC1) protein in the matched colorectal normal mucosa tissue, colorectal adenoma tissue， and colorectal cancer tissue, and its relationship with tumorigenesis, tumor progression， and prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer . MethodsThe expression of CLIC1 protein was detected in 150 cases of colorectal normal mucosa tissues, 62 cases of colorectal adenoma tissues, and 187 cases of colorectal cancer tissues by using immunohistochemistry tissue microarray, and the relationships between the expression of CLIC1 protein and clinicopathologic features, and the survival rate of patients with colorectal cancer were analyzed. ResultsThe positive rate of CLIC1 protein expression in normal mucosa tissues (26.00%, 39/150), colorectal adenoma tissues (66.13%, 41/62), and colorectal cancer tissues (82.89%, 187/155) increased in turn and the difference was statistically significant (Plt;0.001). The expression of CLIC1 protein was related to TNM staging (P=0.007), but it was not related to gender (P=0.553), age (P=0.206), tumor diameter (P=0.185), tumor differentiation (P=0.062), and tumor location (P=0.598). The median survival time after surgery in patients with CLIC1 protein positive expression was 80 months, and it was 111 months in patients with CLIC1 protein negative expression. The survival rate of patients with CLIC1 protein positive expression was lower than that with CLIC1 protein negative expression by log-rank test (66.40% vs. 80.00%, P=0.031). ConclusionsThe expression of CLIC1 protein is related to the tumorigenesis and progression of colorectal cancer as well as the survival of patients with colorectal cancer. CLIC1 is a potential tumor biomarker.
Objective To investigate the prognostic factors of severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease ( COPD) in elderly patients, and to guide the clinical assessment and appropriate interventions. Methods A prospective cohort study was carried out from May 1993 to December 2010. A total of 178 elderly patients with severe COPD were recruited for baseline survey, and followed up for the living conditions, whether used non-invasive ventilation, and causes of death. A survival analysis was performed on all patients stratified by lung function. The significant factors on survival rate were analyzed. Results In this cohort the survival rates were 49% and 12% in five and ten years, respectively. The important factors for prognosis were age [ relative risk( RR) = 1. 043, 95% confidence intervals( 95% CI = 1. 010-1. 050] , forced expired volume in one second ( FEV1 , RR = 0. 019, 95% CI = 0. 007-0. 052) , FEV1% pred ( RR = 1. 045, 95% CI = 1. 012-1. 079) , lung function grade ( RR = 2. 542, 95% CI = 1. 310-4. 931) , body mass index ( BMI, RR= 0. 945, 95% CI = 0. 895-0. 952) , and pulmonary heart disease ( RR = 1. 872, 95% CI = 1. 188- 2. 959) . In severe COPD, non-invasive ventilation ( NIV, RR = 1. 167, 95% CI = 0. 041-1. 674) , pulmonary heart disease ( RR = 3. 805, 95% CI = 1. 336-10. 836) , FEV1 ( RR = 0. 081, 95% CI = 1. 001-1. 168) , and arterial partial of oxygen ( PaO2 , RR=0. 956, 95% CI =0. 920-0. 993) were the independent predictors.The patients using NIV had longer survival than those without NIV. The 5 and 10 years survival rate in the patients with NIV were 78% and 50% , much higher than those without ventilation which were 30% and 25% , respectively. In extremely severe COPD, FEV1 ( RR=1. 059, 95% CI =1. 015-1. 105) , arterial partial of carbon dioxide ( PaCO2 , RR=1. 037, 95% CI = 1. 001-1. 074) , age ( RR= 1. 054, 95% CI = 1. 013-1. 096) and pulmonary heart disease ( RR = 1. 892, 95% CI = 1. 125-3. 181) were the independent predictors. Conclusions Age, BMI, FEV1 , PaO2 , PaCO2 , pulmonary heart disease, and NIV were prognostic factors in elderly patients with severe COPD. The prognostic factors between severe and extremely severe COPD were not identical. Patients with severe COPD should be given early intervention, including progressive nutritional support, and long-term home oxygen therapy combining with NIV.
ObjectiveTo investigate the prognostic factors for inflammatory breast cancer based on the data from West China Hospital with a relatively large sample. MethodsClinical data of 41 patients with histopathologically confirmed inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) who received treatment at West China Hospital Oncology Center of Sichuan University between January 2009 and December 2014 were collected and analyzed. Log-rank test and Cox regression model were used for statistical analysis. ResultsIn the study, negative estrogen receptor, negative progestrone receptor and positive human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 were identified in 58.5%, 61.0% and 34.2% of the inflammatory breast cancer tissues, respectively. Progress free survival (PFS) were between 2 and 60 months, with a median of 35 months. Univariate analysis showed that Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) stage (P=0.016) and therapeutic effect (P=0.002) influenced the survival. Multivariate analysis showed that TNM stage (P=0.006), therapeutic effect (P=0.002), and anthracycline-taxane based chemotherapy (P=0.041) were the significant prognostic factors. ConclusionTNM stage is the major prognostic factor for IBC. Preoperative chemotherapy with paclitaxel-epirubicin combination can improve the PFS of IBC. Comprehensive treatment mode with operation is recommended for the treatment of IBC.
ObjectiveTo study the clinical value of changes of serumα-fetoprotein(AFP) and soluble cell adhesion molecule-1(sICAM-1) levels before and after surgical treatment of primary hepatocellular carcinoma(PHC) as predictors of patient survival. MethodsThe clinical data and followed-up results of 86 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma received hepatectomy or radiofrequency ablation(RFA) in Xijing Hospital and the 451st Hospital of PLA were retrospectivly analyzed. The changes of peripheral blood AFP and sICAM-1 levels in patients before and in 1 month after treatment were observed and all patients were divided into different groups according to the changes in both two markers. Then survival rates of each group were analyzed. ResultsThe patients with AFP < 20μg/L or sICAM-1 < 1 000 U/L before treatment had lower tumor recurrence rate and higher survival rate than patients with elevated serum levels of the both markers(AFP:P=0.018, P < 0.001;sICAM-1:P=0.027, P < 0.001). The larger tumor, late TNM stage, and higher rate of recurrence were associated with elevated serum levels of the both markers(AFP:P=0.016, P=0.026 and P=0.025;sICAM-1:P < 0.001, P=0.024 and P=0.032). The better survival situation was closely related with these cases treated with hepatectomy and their levels of both markers were lower than the above cutoff values both before and after treatment, or leves of both markers above the cut-off values returned to within the normal range after treatment (AFP:P=0.006, P=0.001;sICAM-1:P=0.001, P=0.002). The patients who had simultaneous increase of AFP and sICAM-1 after operation showed the worst tumor-free and overall survivals(P=0.007, P < 0.001). ConclusionTo test the changes of serum AFP and sICAM-1 levels in early stage after treatment for patients who received radical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma has good clinical value for monitoring of tumor recurrence and predict prognosis.
Objective To investigate surgical outcomes and prognostic factors for patients with coronary heart disease and low left ventricular ejection fraction （LVEF≤40%） undergoing off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting （OPCAB）. Methods We retrospectively analyzed clinical records of 63 discharged patients with coronary heart disease and low LVEF who underwent OPCAB in Peking University People’s Hospital from 2001 to 2004 year. There were 48 males and 15 females with mean age of 65.1±9.2 years and mean LVEF of 33.8%±5.0%. Regular follow-up evaluation was completed. We investigated risk factors for long-term survival of the patients by Kapalan-Meier survival curve, log-rank test and Cox regression model.?Results?Follow-up time was 3-107 （71.3±24.4） months, and six patients were lost during the follow-up. Nineteen patients （30.2%） died during follow-up including 10 patients （15.9%） who had cardiac-related death. The survival rate at 1, 3, 5 and 8 year was 96.7% （61）, 94.9% （60）, 85.9% （55）, 77.2% （53） respectively. Univariate analysis shows LVEF≤30% and acute myocardial infarction within 30 days are risk factors for long-term survival（P＜0.05）. Cox regression analysis showed that LVEF≤30%（RR=4.662, P＜0.05）and acute myocardial infarction within 30 days（RR=5.544, P＜0.05）were two independent risk factors for cardiac-related death after discharge. Conclusion Patients with coronary heart disease and low LVEF can have satisfactory surgical outcomes after OPCAB. LVEF≤30% and acute myocardial infarction within 30 days are the two independent risk factors for cardiac-related death after discharge.
ObjectiveTo investigate the application status of survival analysis in studies published in Chinese oncology journals, and assess their reporting quality and summarize the existing problems, so as to promote the application of survival analysis and reporting quality. MethodsStudies that used survival analysis were collected from 1 492 studies published in Chinese Journal of Oncology, Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology, Chinese Journal of Radiation Oncology and Chinese Journal of Cancer Prevention and Treatment in 2013. The application status of survival analysis of included studies was analysed and their reporting quality was evaluated. ResultsA total of 242 survival analysis studies were included. Among them, the utilization rates of Kaplan-Meier method, life table method, log-rank test, Breslow test and Cox proportional hazards model were 91.74%, 3.72%, 78.51%, 0.41% and 46.28%, respectively. 112 studies did multivariate analysis through Cox proportional hazards model. A total of 396 end points and 10 different types of survival time were reported. Overall survival (OS) was reported in 233 studies (92.15%). Survival terms were defined to 158 end points (39.90%) of 103 studies (42.56%). The follow-up rates were mentioned in 155 studies (64.05%), of which 4 studies were under 80% and the lowest was 75.25%, 55 studies were 100%. The main problems of survival analysis studies published in Chinese journals were as follows:None of the studies which used Cox proportional hazards model reported the proportional hazards assumption. None of the studies used the method of parametric survival analysis. 130 studies (53.72%) did not use the method of multiple factor analysis. 139 studies (57.44%) did not define the survival terms. Only 11 of 100 studies which reported loss to follow-up had stated how to treat it in the analysis. None of the studies reported the methods of calculating sample size. None of the studies reported the censoring proportion. ConclusionThe methods of survival analysis are used in a low rate in studies published in Chinese oncology journals, and the overall reporting quality of survival analyses is poor. So the reporting guideline of survival analysis should be developed and the authors should be encouraged to cooperate with professional statisticians, in order to improve the design, analysis and reporting quality of survival analysis studies.
ObjectiveTo investigate the predictive value of thyroid transcription factor-1 (TTF-1) in the treatment of advanced lung adenocarcinoma with different chemotherapy regimens.MethodsA total of 126 patients with advanced lung cancer were divided into three groups according to the chemotherapy regimen, namely a pemetrexed+nedaplatin group (PEM+NDP group), a pemetrexed+cisplatin/carboplatin group (PEM+DDP/CBP group) and a third-generation (3G) chemotherapy+cisplatin/carboplatin group (3G agent+DDP/CBP group). The predictive value of TTF-1 in the above three treatment regimens was analyzed. The patients were followed up by telephone or outpatient visit until April 2017.ResultsThere were no significant differences in disease control rate or objective response rate between the three different chemotherapy regimens (all P>0.05). The survival rate of PEM+NDP group was significantly higher than that of PEM+DDP/CBP group and 3G agent+DDP/CBP group (9.68%vs. 5.56% and 6.80%, both P<0.05). ECOG score and brain metastasis were independent risk factors for the prognosis of chemotherapy regimens. TTF-1 was an independent risk factor for PEM+NDP therapy.ConclusionTTF-1 is an independent risk factor for PEM+NDP chemotherapy, but not for 3G agent + DDP/CBP or PEM+DDP/CBP regimens.
Objective To investigate the expression of Jumonji domain-containing protein 3 ( JMJD3) in lung cancer tissue. Methods The cancer tissue slides from 53 lung cancer patients with different TNMstages were immunostained with JMJD3 antibody. The relationship between the expression of JMJD3 and type of pathology, TNM stage, survival time was analyzed. Results 94. 3% lung cancer tissue expressed JMJD3 protein. The expression of JMJD3 was negatively correlated with TNMstage( r = - 0. 347,P =0. 002) . The patients with decreased JMJD3 expression had shorter survival time than the patients with high JMJD3 expression ( X2 = 17. 83, P = 0. 001) . Conclusion Decreased expression of JMJD3 may promote the lung cancer progression.
Markov model is one of the decision analysis models, which is widely used in pharmacoeconomic evaluation studies. In terms of dealing with changes of disease risks during different times, the transition probabilities among different Markov health states becomes hard to calculate. Nevertheless, survival analysis is an available resolution. In this paper, we introduced how to apply survival analysis in calculation of transition probability in time-dependent model based on cumulative probability with a case analysis on advanced gastric cancer Markov model, and provide more information for researchers to build models.